College football bowl projections see playoff field shuffled after Week 10 upsets

College football bowl projections see playoff field shuffled after Week 10 upsets

Our Summary

Week 10 of the college football season has significantly impacted the landscape for teams aiming for a spot in the College Football Playoff. Texas Tech is now projected to win the Big 12, while Brigham Young has moved into the at-large pool. Louisville is predicted to win the ACC, and South Florida has replaced Tulane as the American Athletic Conference favorite and the Group of Five representative.

Oklahoma and Texas have improved their standings with wins against Tennessee and Vanderbilt, respectively. These losses have hurt Tennessee and Vanderbilt's playoff chances, requiring favorable outcomes in future matches for potential selection.

Miami's playoff hopes are in jeopardy following a loss to SMU, raising concerns about deeper issues within the team. Georgia Tech also suffered a setback with a loss to North Carolina State, making it likely that they must win the ACC to secure a playoff spot.

Legacy Pac-12 schools will continue to honor existing bowl agreements through the 2025 season, and not all conferences will fulfill their bowl allotment.

Originally by Erick Smithon November 4, 2025
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