Defining success for first-year coaches in 2026: CFP or bust for Lane Kiffin?

The college football landscape is set for a shake-up with 17 new head coaches stepping into Power Four programs for the 2026 season. These hires come with significant expectations due to the impact of the transfer portal, which allows for rapid team overhauls. The bar for success in Year 1 varies among these programs.

Matt Campbell at Penn State is expected to reach the playoffs to justify his hiring following James Franklin's departure. Bob Chesney at UCLA aims to stabilize the program after a turbulent period. Pat Fitzgerald at Michigan State targets a bowl game return after a 4-8 season.

At Virginia Tech, James Franklin is tasked with achieving eight or more wins, while Pete Golding at Ole Miss focuses on securing nine wins and a victory over LSU. Alex Golesh at Auburn and Eric Morris at Oklahoma State both have a goal of at least seven wins to rejuvenate their respective programs.

Lane Kiffin at LSU faces high expectations with a playoff appearance deemed necessary, given the resources invested into