NFL playoff picture: Postseason probabilities entering Week 13 of the 2025 season

As the NFL enters Week 13 of the 2025 season, the playoff picture is beginning to take shape with several key matchups that could shift the postseason landscape. In the AFC, the New England Patriots lead the pack with a 10-2 record and a 99% probability of making the playoffs. The Denver Broncos (9-2) are close behind, with a 97% playoff probability and a 40% chance of securing the No. 1 seed.

The AFC features a highly competitive race for playoff spots, with teams like the Texans, Jaguars, Chargers, Chiefs, Steelers, Colts, Ravens, and Bills showing significant playoff leverage. Notably, the Broncos benefited from Week 12 results as the Colts, Bills, and Steelers all lost, increasing Denver's chances of finishing atop the AFC.

In the NFC, the Los Angeles Rams hold the top spot with a 9-2 record and a 99% playoff probability. They also have a 55% chance