SIS College Football Playoff Predictions

The SIS College Football Projection Model has released its latest predictions for the College Football Playoff, simulating the remainder of the season to determine team probabilities of securing a playoff spot. Ohio State, Indiana, Texas A&M, Georgia, and Texas Tech each have a greater than 99% chance of making the playoffs, according to the model. Oregon and Ole Miss follow with 96% and 91% probabilities, respectively, while Oklahoma and Alabama have 79% and 69% chances.

The model considers conference championship outcomes and uses its own Total Points rating for tiebreakers. It ranks teams based on the current College Football Playoff (CFP) Rankings and uses an exponential decay model to introduce variance, reflecting the unpredictability of the CFP Committee's decisions.

North Texas is the highest-rated group-of-5 team with a 67% chance of making the playoffs, led by standout quarterback Drew Mestemaker. The ACC race is tight, with SMU favored at 63%, while